Weekly · US steel · Monday mornings

You quote it in June. You buy it in August.That gap is your margin.

Fabricators hold a fixed price while the steel is still weeks out. SteelBrief tracks what the market does in between — mill price moves, production, energy and the trade docket — and puts it on two pages every Monday.

Two pages, PDF. No form, no account, no card. Reply and it's yours.

Nucor HRC · published consumer spot price

What the mill did while one quote was still open.

$/short ton

JUN 22
1,130
▲ +$5
JUN 29
1,130
— held
JUL 6
1,130
— held
JUL 13
1,135
▲ +$5
JUL 27
1,145
▲ +$10
AUG 3
1,155
▲ +$10
Quote held
6 weeks
Fixed price out the door on June 22.
Moved against you
+$25 / ton
Three weeks flat, then two increases.
Still ahead of you
3–5 weeks
Current mill lead time on new orders.
What lands Monday

Four things that move the number you quote.

Not a dashboard. Not a login. Two pages that tell you where the market stands and what it means for the bid on your desk.

01

Mill price & production

Producer price indices for hot-rolled long and cold-rolled sheet, month over month and year over year, next to weekly domestic output and capacity utilization.

BLS via FRED · AISI weekly

What you do with it: when utilization sits above 80% and rising, the mill has room to hold price. Below it and falling, you have room to push back.
02

Energy and freight

Henry Hub natural gas and industrial electricity — the input costs for electric-arc mills — alongside on-highway diesel, the cost of getting material to your yard.

EIA via FRED

What you do with it: gas under the surcharge line means near-term surcharge risk is low. Diesel climbing on its own means the freight leg, not the furnace, is what's moving your delivered cost.
03

Trade docket

Live USITC steel-product proceedings — antidumping institutions, five-year reviews, Section 232 activity — with the origins named and the stage of each case flagged.

USITC via Federal Register

What you do with it: an institution is the earliest stage of a case, when sourcing still has room to adjust. A final review is when the door is closing.
04

Accumulating history

Every week's figures stay in your sheet and build a consolidated 52-week series — price, production and energy in one place, which no free source keeps together.

Rolling series · no manual entry

What you do with it: when a customer asks why material went up, you have the dated record of what the market did between your quote and your purchase.
The Cost Pressure Index

One number for how hard the mill can push this week.

Four signals, each scoring one when it crosses a published threshold. The rule is fixed, the thresholds are printed in every issue, and the number is recomputed from source data every Monday — never adjusted to fit a narrative.

Four of four means every input points toward cost pressure and your leverage is at its narrowest. Zero means the opposite.

Week ending August 1, 2026
Price momentum+16.0% YoY1
Capacity utilization81.0% · above line1
Natural gas$2.63 · below line0
New trade proceedings3 in 30 days1
COST PRESSURE ELEVATED3/4

Mills have room to hold price. The cost pressure this week is coming from freight, not the furnace — a bundled quote hides that, a separated one doesn't.

How it works

Ask, read, decide.

No demo call, no onboarding, no procurement review. You'll know inside two Mondays whether it's worth $99.

STEP 01

Ask for this week's

Reply to an email or click below. This week's full brief comes back as a two-page PDF. No form, no card, no account.

STEP 02

Two Mondays free

Start the trial in one click. You get the live sheet shared to your address and the brief lands automatically for two consecutive weeks.

STEP 03

Keep it if it earns it

If it changed how you thought about one bid, continue at $99/month. Cancel yourself, any time — no calls, no retention flow.

Methodology & corrections

Every figure traces back to a named authority.

If a number ends up in your bid, you should be able to see where it came from and what happens when it's wrong.

Where the numbers come from

No proprietary or paywalled data is redistributed. Every figure in the brief traces to a public federal source, named in the issue where it appears.

  • Producer price indices — US Bureau of Labor Statistics, via FRED
  • Weekly output and capacity utilization — American Iron and Steel Institute
  • Energy and freight benchmarks — US Energy Information Administration
  • Trade proceedings — US International Trade Commission, via the Federal Register

How they're produced

Month-over-month, year-over-year and weekly changes are computed from source data, never estimated. The written read describes those figures and introduces no number the data doesn't contain.

  • Every published figure is written straight from the source record
  • An automated check blocks publication if a figure can't be traced back
  • When a series is unavailable, the brief marks it — it doesn't infer a value
  • When a figure is corrected, the restatement is disclosed in the issue
Pricing

Less than an hour of shop time.

One decision, one monthly payment, full access from the first day of the trial.

Solo
$99 / month
or $990/year — two months free
  • The brief, every Monday morning
  • Mill price momentum and production
  • Energy and freight cost monitor
  • USITC trade docket, stage-flagged
  • Cost Pressure Index with published rule
  • Accumulating 52-week history
Start with two free Mondays
Team
$249 / month
or $2,490/year — two months free
  • Everything in Solo
  • Up to five people on one sheet
  • For shops where estimating and purchasing both read it
  • Priority email response
Get Team

30-day money-back guarantee · Secure checkout by Freemius · Cancel anytime, self-serve

This Monday

The mill tells you every week. Somebody should be reading it.

Nucor publishes its spot price Mondays. AISI publishes production. The USITC publishes the docket. It's all public — it's just not in anyone's inbox. That's the whole job.

No card required · Cancel anytime · Checkout by Freemius